![]() Morning Consult’s reported results among registered voters reflect data gathered on a weekly or biweekly basis from a nationally representative sample of roughly 2,000 registered voters, with an unweighted margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. 9, 2022 - includes any registered voters who say they are at least an “8” on a 1-10 point scale, where “1” means an individual will definitely not vote in the November 2022 midterm elections for Congress and “10” means an individual will definitely vote in November. ![]() Our likely voter model - which went into effect on Aug. This daily sample is weighted based on age, education, ethnicity, gender, geographic region, home ownership, marital status and 2020 presidential vote history. Morning Consult conducts daily interviews with a representative sample of roughly 4,000 registered voters in the United States via stratified sampling based on age, gender, and language (English/Spanish). Morning Consult’s reported results among likely voters reflect data based on a 3-day moving average, with an unweighted margin of error of plus or minus 1 percentage point. The latest national results on the generic ballot and Biden’s approval rating reflect surveys conducted Oct. ![]() The share of voters who believe the Biden administration is making crime a “top priority” continues to rise, from 31% in early October to 36% in the latest survey. Meanwhile, 56% disapprove of his job performance.Ĭrime Second Only to the Economy on Voters’ Minds : Roughly 3 in 5 voters rate crime as “very important” to their midterm vote, higher than the 51% who said the same of abortion and the 50% who are focused on immigration. Republicans Increase Enthusiasm Edge : Republicans are more likely than Democrats to say they are “extremely” or “very” enthusiastic about voting in the midterm elections, 64% to 61%, following a dip among Democrats in recent weeks.īiden’s Approval Hits Low Among Likely Voters : Biden’s job approval rating has reached a low point with likely voters, falling from a 47% high in mid-September to 42% in the latest survey. The latest survey marks a decline over the past month from Democrats’ high point (49%), and a boost for the GOP from its 44% low. Democrats Lose Generic Ballot Lead : Congressional Democrats have lost their advantage over congressional Republicans on the generic ballot, with likely voters now evenly split - 46% to 46% - on the question.
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